2024 U.S. Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions (2024)

Golf’s toughest test is back in North Carolina for the 2024 U.S. Open this week, with Pinehurst No. 2 once again hosting this spectacular major championship. Scottie Scheffler is seeking his 2nd major title of the year, as is Xander Schauffele, as the world’s best players compete at the same venue where Martin Kaymer blew away the field by 8 shots in 2014.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 U.S. Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler, fresh off a victory at the Memorial Tournament on Sunday, has already won 5 times this season and will try to make it 6 at Pinehurst. The world No. 1 is just +333 to win this week, by far the shortest odds and the only player under +1000. Schauffele, who won the PGA Championship at Valhalla, has the 2nd-best odds at +1100, followed closely by Rory McIlroy (+1100) and the Memorial runner-up, Collin Morikawa, at +1400. The 2023 U.S. Open champion, Wyndham Clark, has pre-tournament odds of +6000.

Pinehurst No. 2 isn’t a traditional layout in the sense that there is no real rough. Just off the fairways are waste bunkers, native areas and bushes that make for difficult lies and approaches into the greens. And speaking of the greens, they feature turtleback shapes that make target areas significantly smaller and shots around the greens difficult. It will be 7,550 yards and play as a par 70, making it a very long course on the scorecard, but the conditions will be firm so expect plenty of rollout off the tee.

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124th U.S. Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:58 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+1400)

Morikawa was up and down in the early portion of the season, but since the Masters, he’s been one of the hottest players in the world. He finished 3rd at Augusta, 4th at the PGA Championship, 4th at the Charles Schwab Challenge and 2nd last week at the Memorial. He hasn’t finished worse than 16th in his last 6 solo events and it’s easy to think he’s poised to win another major soon. It could be this week at Pinehurst where approach shots are ever so important.

Brooks Koepka (+2200)

Koepka’s form is harder to gauge because he’s on LIV Golf, but what we do know is he shot 7-under in Houston on Sunday to finish 9th, making 8 birdies on the day. He now heads to a championship that he’s won twice before and we all know how competitive he is when it comes to majors. After a couple of disappointing showings at the Masters and PGA, he should bounce back at Pinehurst.

Xander Schauffele (+1100)

Schauffele is one of the few players capable of going blow-for-blow with Scheffler, which isn’t easy to do. Part of the reason is his bogey avoidance and all-around skill set; he ranks 2nd in SG: tee-to-green and 16th in putting, so his game is ready-made for a tough test like Pinehurst.

U.S. Open picks – Contenders

Cameron Smith (+4000)

With an added emphasis on around-the-green play this week, it’s hard not to like Smith. He’s an elite putter and a wizard around the green, making up-and-downs from everywhere. That will be needed at Pinehurst with turtleback greens that run off with even the slightest misses. Let’s ignore the fact that he shot 80 on Sunday in Houston, which included a 9-over stretch in his final 4 holes because that’s an anomaly.

Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)

Matsuyama has only played 2 events since the Masters (PGA Championship, Memorial), which admittedly made it a little tough to feel confident in him. But after a T-8 at Muirfield last week, confidence is growing. He’s by far the best player in SG: around the green this season and has always had a terrific short game, which will come in handy at Pinehurst. He ranked 7th in SG: tee-to-green at Muirfield, which is also encouraging.

Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)

Fleetwood has been lacking top-10s in the last month and a half but he also doesn’t have a finish worse than T-26 in his last 4 starts. His approach game has been struggling this season, but he’s great around the greens and very accurate off the tee (3rd on tour). His lack of length will be offset by the firmer conditions, allowing his low ball flight to create plenty of rollout.

U.S. Open picks – Long shots

Keegan Bradley (+8000)

I won’t quit Bradley. He was in contention at the Memorial Tournament before shooting 78 and 80 in the final 2 rounds. To put it into perspective, he was 5-under through his first 46 holes and 14 over in his last 26 holes, so he crashed hard on Saturday and Sunday. Even still, he’s found his game after finishing 21st, 18th and 2nd in his previous 3 starts.

Si Woo Kim (+10000)

In his last 9 starts, Kim has finished worse than 18th only 3 times. That’s 6 top-20s in 9 starts, including a T-6 at the Players Championship. His putting is awful, ranking 162nd on tour, but he’s 4th in SG: tee-to-green, which is an important metric.

Byeong Hun An (+10000)

An is playing too well to have odds this long. He finished 4th at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, 3rd at the Wells Fargo Championship and 22nd at Muirfield last week, 3 impressive performances in his last 4 starts. There are obvious concerns with his short game, ranking 102nd in strokes gained around the green and 84th in putting, but he’s long off the tee and 48th in SG: approach.

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Golfweek:

  • Field for the 2024 U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 is official. See who got the last 6 spots
  • Cypress Point is new No. 1 among Classic courses ranking. Here’s why

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2024 U.S. Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

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2024 U.S. Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions? ›

Aberg is the +333 favorite in the 2024 U.S. Open odds, followed by DeChambeau (4-1), McIlroy (9-2), Cantlay (9-1), Schauffele (12-1), Finau (14-1), Detry (16-1) and Hideki Matsuyama at 16-1.

Who is predicted to win the U.S. Open in 2024? ›

2024 U.S. Open expert picks, predictions. Winner: Scottie Scheffler (3-1): Who else? If each win to this point has made his season more historic, this one will make it the most historic. First golfer since Tiger Woods to win six times in a year, including a major.

Who are the Favourites for the PGA U.S. Open? ›

Scottie Scheffler, winner of the 2024 Masters Tournament, and Xander Schauffele, winner of the 2024 PGA Championship, opened play as the favorites on ESPN BET, but it is Rory McIlroy who enters the second round as the new favorite after tying Patrick Cantlay for the lead by shooting 65 in the first round.

How many golfers in the U.S. Open in 2024? ›

The 2024 U.S. Open began with 156 golfers competing for a major championship and a massive first-place prize in Pinehurst, North Carolina.

Where will the 2026 U.S. Open be? ›

2026 U.S. Open Course

In 2026, the U.S. Open will head back to New York, taking place at Shinneco*ck Hills Golf Club. Shinneco*ck has hosted the U.S. Open five times, including the second-ever U.S. Open in 1896.

What location is the 2024 U.S. Open? ›

The 2024 U.S. Open began Thursday at Pinehurst Resort's No. 2 course in North Carolina. Temperatures are expected to get into the 90s this weekend at golf's third major of the year and the competition should be just as hot.

Did Scheffler make U.S. Open cut? ›

Scottie Scheffler struggles but makes U.S. Open cut. Ludvig Aberg leads, unfazed by Pinehurst No. 2 challenges. Big names like Woods, Johnson, Mickelson miss the cut. Players brace for tougher weekend conditions at Pinehurst.

What do you make if you win the US Open? ›

This year's U.S. Open champ will receive $4.3 million, marking an increase of $700,000 from 2023. For comparison, Scheffler earned $3.6 million for winning the 2024 Masters and Xander Schauffele received $3.3 million for winning the 2024 PGA Championship.

How long is the US open in 2024? ›

The 2024 U.S. Open has arrived, and with it, four days of pristine golf are underway one of the nation's best courses, Pinehurst No. 2. The action in North Carolina began Thursday with Round 1 setting the stage for the rest of the year's third major.

What is the projected cut for the U.S. Open in 2024? ›

Dozens of golfers still haven't finished the front nine of Round 2, making the cut line still dynamic as of 4:30 p.m. ET. At time of publishing, the projected cut line is 5-over compared to the 2-over mark following the first round.

What is the payout for the US Open golf tournament in 2024? ›

PINEHURST, N.C. — When he spoke to the media on the eve of the 2024 U.S. Open, USGA CEO Mike Whan offered an interesting explanation as to why the association would be offering the richest prize money payout in major championship history—$21.5 million overall with $4.3 million to the winner.

Did Tiger Woods make the cut for the 2024 U.S. Open? ›

Tiger Woods did not make the cut for the U.S. Open after recording a 3-over 73 on Friday, dropping him to 7-over in Pinehurst. It's a par for Tiger Woods at the last.

Where is the open in 2024? ›

When is The Open in 2024? In 2024, The 152nd Open will be played July 14 – 21, 2024 in Scotland where Royal Troon Golf Club will host The Open, sometimes referred to as The British Open or The Open Championship.

Did Tiger Woods make the cut at U.S. Open? ›

Did Tiger Woods make the cut at the U.S. Open? Tiger Woods did not make the cut for the U.S. Open after recording a 3-over 73 on Friday, dropping him to 7-over in Pinehurst. It's a par for Tiger Woods at the last.

How to watch the 2024 U.S. Open golf? ›

2024 U.S. Open broadcast schedule: TV and streaming

Broadcast for the tournament will be across NBC, USA Network and the Golf Channel. Live streaming options for the tournament will be available on the USGA App, usopen.com and Peaco*ck.

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