NBA Parlay & SGP Picks: Odds and Predictions for 5-19-2024 Playoff Games (2024)

Of all the crucial variables at play in Game 7 between the Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets, Mike Conley's health could be the one that swings the series. We break down his impact in our NBA parlay picks for May 19 below.

It doesn’t get much better than today’s monster NBA double-header, with a pair of Game 7s on tap and two spots in the Conference Finals on the line.

With the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers squaring off at a rocking Madison Square Garden, then another winner-takes-all showdown as the Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves, there’s no shortage of NBA props to weigh up.

I’ve combed through the NBA odds and picked out my favorite NBA picks for a decisive Sunday.

NBA playoffs parlay picks May 19

• DiVincenzo Over 17.5 points
• Conley Over 5.5 assists
• Towns Under 18.5 points
  (+548 at bet365)
  

Best NBA parlay picks for Sunday

NBA parlay pick

I don’t see the New York Knicks getting past the Indiana Pacers today without another dynamic performance from Jalen Brunson, but the New York point guard can’t do it all alone.

With Josh Hart likely to be limited by a side strain and OG Anunoby questionable to return from a hamstring injury, Donte DiVincenzo stands out as the secondary scoring option needed to get the Knicks over the hump.

DiVincenzo had a huge start to the series, averaging 29 ppg in the first three contests, including a 35-point effort in Game 3, but he was a non-factor in Games 4 and 5 before rebounding in Friday’s loss.

I expect the shot volume to be there for DiVincenzo this afternoon and — buoyed by the MSG crowd — he won’t be afraid of the moment.

In our other Game 7 today, Mike Conley’s health feels like a huge swing factor. The Minnesota Timberwolves missed the veteran’s steady hand in a Game 5 loss when he sat out with an Achilles issue, but he looked mobile and assertive on Thursday night.

Conley’s playmaking is going to be critical again here and his assists prop with a 5.5 O/U offers real value. He went past that number in his first four games of this series, including a 10-dime night in Game 1, and he would probably have done so again in Game 6 but for the blowout scoreline.

With the Denver Nuggets sending extra defenders at Anthony Edwards, it makes sense for Minnesota to put the ball in Conley’s hands as a facilitator even more with the season on the line, and he’s got great chemistry with Rudy Gobert in the pick and roll. He could tally a few assists on lob dunks alone.

I’m also taking the Under on the Karl-Anthony Towns points prop. There are just so many variables with KAT’s decision-making in big games, and the Nikola Jokic assignment brings major risk of foul trouble. If we get a tight Game 7 whistle, Towns could spend long stints on the bench.

Can he keep his head and play the steady two-way role that the Timberwolves need from him? He’s made strides in the 2024 playoffs but I still have my doubts. He’s fallen short of 18 points in three of the last four games in this series.

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Today's NBA same-game parlay picks

Our betting experts have searched through today's NBA odds to find your best SGP bets for both games on Sunday's playoff slate:

Pacers vs Knicks same-game parlay (SGP)

Guarding a stretch five — and Myles Turner in particular — has proven consistently problematic for this Knicks team, who want to have their bigs around the basket as much as possible.

That’s led to a lot of late closeouts and open looks from downtown for Turner, who is averaging two made threes per game on 46.2% shooting. As one of the most experienced players on the Pacers, I like his chances of performing well while other players may wilt in the face of the Game 7 pressure.

Aaron Nesmith on the other hand, might be a wilter. He's done yeoman’s work guarding Brunson in this series, but his outside shot has deserted him. He’s shooting just 22.7% from deep in the series and is only averaging 3.7 attempts. He’s also now missed 10 of his last 11 shots from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets same-game parlay (SGP)

The most veteran player in this series and — if you think about it for a few minutes — remaining in the entire playoffs, Mike Conley has not shied from the biggest Minnesota moments this season.

He has developed a knack for timely 3-pointers, shooting 44.2% from beyond the arc in the regular season and now 39.1% in 10 games this postseason. A tight fourth quarter will require a few timely 3-pointers, at which point Conley will not hesitate.

A bet on Karl-Anthony Towns chasing down rebounds is a bet on the big man avoiding foul trouble, itself a worrying thought. Note: If Scott Foster refs this game, that should increase Towns's minutes, given the increased likelihood that Rudy Gobert is in foul trouble.

Towns has not been a priority-scoring threat in this series. His primary duty is defending Nikola Jokic, something he's done better than anybody else in a Timberwolves jersey and quite possibly better than anyone else in the league did this season.

That has put Towns in the vicinity of any missed Jokic shot, which there have been plenty of. Jokic managed to go up against Gobert for much of his Game 5 explosion, going 8-for-9 for 20 points against the Defensive Player of the Year. Remove that specific subset and Jokic is shooting just 50% in this series.

Furthermore, Jokic needs to spend his energy creating and shooting. That conservation, particularly early in the game, could lead to a few extra Towns boards for what would be the fourth time this series.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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